ONE down, two more to go. With the Premier League relegation race entering its final weekend, Chief Sports Writer Scott Wilson profiles the five sides who could join West Ham United in the Championship next season.
WIGAN (39pts, Goal difference -22)
vs Stoke (A)
Will definitely stay up if:
They win and Blackburn draw with Wolves.
They win and better Blackpool and Birmingham's results by a margin of two or more goals.
They draw and Blackpool and Birmingham both lose.
They draw, either Blackpool or Birmingham lose, and Wolves lose by four or more goals.
They lose, but Blackpool and Birmingham both lose by goal margins two greater than Wigan.
Positives:
On a good run, having lost just one of their last five matches, with last weekend's thrilling comeback against West Ham underlining the strength of the squad's spirit.
Playing a Stoke team with nothing to play for in the wake of their FA Cup final defeat to Manchester City.
Their star player, Charles N'Zogbia, is bang in form and Hugo Rodallega is also showing signs of life after a disappointing season.
Negatives:
Have been defensively insecure all season, which is hardly a good sign when you are visiting the Britannia Stadium.
Are in the worst position of all the relegation candidates, so are relying on other clubs to do them a favour whatever happens at Stoke.
Played their 'Get out of jail' card against West Ham last weekend, so may be unable to repeat the trick for a second time in seven days.
Relegation Odds:
8-11
Prediction:
SURVIVE
BLACKPOOL (39pts, Goal difference -21)
vs Man United (A)
Will definitely stay up if:
They win and Blackburn draw with Wolves.
They win and Birmingham do not.
They win and Wigan fail to better their result by two or more goals.
They draw, Wigan fail to win and Birmingham lose.
They lose, Wigan lose by an identical or greater margin, and Birmingham lose by a bigger margin than Blackpool.
Positives:
With the Champions League final coming up next weekend, Manchester United boss Sir Alex Ferguson is set to rest a number of his key players.
Despite a roller-coaster season, Blackpool's spirit remains intact, as underlined by last weekend's thrilling 4-3 win over Bolton.
Have scored more goals than any of the other sides in the relegation battle and will be more than happy to throw caution to the wind for a final time.
Negatives:
Old Trafford is still Old Trafford whatever side Ferguson puts out, and Blackpool will start as huge outsiders to pull off an upset.
Have struggled defensively all season, so it is hard to see them keeping a clean sheet against the Premier League champions.
Continue to have a huge reliance on talisman Charlie Adam, who doesn't always produce his best form against the top teams in the league.
Relegation odds:
1-4
Prediction:
RELEGATED
BIRMINGHAM (39pts, Goal difference -20)
vs Tottenham (A)
Will definitely stay up if:
They win by the same or a greater margin than Blackpool and Wigan.
They win and Blackburn and Wolves draw.
They draw, Wolves lose by two goals or more, and one of Blackpool or Wigan fail to win.
They lose by the same or fewer margin of goals than Blackpool and Wigan.
Positives:
On paper, are arguably the strongest of all the relegation candidates, as highlighted by their Carling Cup success earlier in the season.
Goalkeepers can make the difference in a final-day drama, and in Ben Foster, Birmingham boast one of the best in the league.
Boast the best goal difference of the three sides currently on 39 points, which could make a huge difference come 6pm tomorrow.
Negatives:
Go into tomorrow's game on a dreadful run of form, having claimed just one point from their last five matches.
Thought they were safe when they beat Sunderland a month ago, so might be mentally unprepared for the pressure they suddenly find themselves under.
Face a Tottenham side who want to win to secure fifth place and a Europa League spot ahead of Liverpool.
Relegation odds:
8-11
Prediction:
RELEGATED
WOLVES (40pts, Goal difference -19)
vs Blackburn (H)
Will definitely stay up if:
They beat Blackburn.
They draw, and two of Birmingham, Blackpool and Wigan fail to win.
They lose by one goal, and two of Birmingham, Blackpool and Wigan fail to win.
Positives:
Are the only of the five relegation candidates to be playing at home, take on a Blackburn side who are hardly world-beaters, and know a win will keep them safe whatever else happens.
Have hit their best form of the season at exactly the right time, and go into tomorrow's game having claimed seven points from their last three games.
With Kevin Doyle having returned from injury, Mick McCarthy boasts a number of attacking options that enable him to be positive from the outset.
Negatives:
With Blackburn also involved in the relegation battle, it is possible that neither side will quite know what to do for the best if the deadlock remains unbroken.
Continue to look vulnerable at the back and have not kept a clean sheet at Molineux since the end of February.
Lost 3-0 against Blackburn in early December and have struggled to beat some of the supposedly lesser sides at home this season.
Relegation odds:
8-1
Prediction:
SURVIVE
BLACKBURN (40pts, Goal difference -14)
vs Wolves (A)
Will definitely survive if:
They beat Wolves.
They draw with Wolves, and one of Birmingham, Blackpool and Wigan fail to win.
They lose, and two of Birmingham, Blackpool and Wigan fail to win.
Positives:
Know that a win will keep them safe whatever happens and, barring a strange set of results, that a draw will also more than likely be good enough.
Have made themselves hard to beat in recent weeks, claiming a win and two draws from their last three matches.
Look the most defensively sound of all the relegation candidates, with Chris Samba in particular having rediscovered his best form in the last few games.
Negatives:
Looked to have been heading to safety on a number of occasions this season, but have always slipped back into the relegation battle.
Travel to a Wolves side who have their own incentives to win tomorrow and will be faced with a raucous atmosphere at Molineux.
Led by a manager, Steve Kean, who has no previous experience of this kind of pressure-cooker occasion.
Relegation odds:
12-1
Prediction:
SURVIVE
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