Muhareb, who has the physical scope to improve this year, looks the value bet at around 12-1 in the competitive Coral Roseberry Showcase Handicap at Kempton this afternoon.
Clive Brittain has made a good start to the year on both turf and sand and his colt proved a most reliable sort last year with four wins at up to middle distances.
But he turned in arguably his best effort yet in defeat on his final start of last year when fifth to the much-improved Scott's View over a mile and a half at Ascot in September.
He faded out of contention only in the closing stages and certainly won't be inconvenienced by the drop back to the mile and a quarter of this open-looking contest.
And, in fields of this size at this course the ability to race prominently from a high draw can be a big advantage and my selection, who can either make the running or track the pace, is ideally berthed in stall 19.
The booking of Frankie Dettori, who won on him at York last year, looks a very positive sign and, given that this is a valuable prize, there's no doubting that his capable trainer will have him fit enough for this reappearance run.
One of the main dangers could be Jeremy Noseda's Adiemus, who is also well drawn and has a potent turn of foot when he gets the race run to suit.
He should be suited by the step up to this trip. Ian Wood's Look First shaped well back on turf at Ascot last time and looks likely to give a good account under Darryll Holland in the Surrey Herald Queen's Prize Handicap over two miles.
The gelding didn't progress in the anticipated manner after a facile win in handicap company on the sand this winter, but he did show that a return to winning ways was imminent at the Berkshire course last time.
My selection didn't get the best of runs that day but he'll be suited by the conditions and is capable of going well on ground he likes from his current handicap mark.
Martin Pipe has a fair record in this race down the years and the chief threat could be his Fortune Island, a hurdles winner in recent months, but who was out of his depth at Cheltenham last time.
The return to handicaps on the Flat should suit. With the stalls on the stands side in the Notcutts Garden Centre Open Bank Holiday Monday Handicap over six furlongs, it's entirely possible that those drawn low could have a bit of an edge.
So the vote goes to Jim Goldie's River Falcon, who ran better than his finishing position suggested on his reappearance at Newcastle last time when sixth to Fair Shake.
On that occasion the three-year-old did the best of those who raced in the stands side group and he shaped that day as though the step up to this trip was going to be in his favour.
That form has already been franked and the booking of Jamie Spencer looks a significant one.
The partership are taken to beat Hit's Only Money, the mount of Kieren Fallon. At Haydock Peter Harris looks to have fair prospects of a winner with Palamedes, the mount of Eddie Ahern, in the Frodsham Handicap over a mile and six furlongs.
This lightly-raced type turned in his best effort to date when successful over a mile and a half on his reappearance, where he left the strong impression that the step up to this trip would be very much to his liking.
No Time, who turned in an improved effort when winning at Ascot last time, is the fancy in the Listed Field Marshall Stakes over five furlongs.
Mark Polglase has got the three-year-old in the form of his life at present and he turned in his best effort yet when successful in a competitive handicap at Ascot last time.
On that form he has nothing to fear from Beauvrai. Over the sticks at Carlisle Sue Bradburne's Bodfari Signet signalled a return to form over this course and distance last time and makes plenty of appeal in the Robert Elliot Memorial Handicap Hurdle over two and a half miles.
Following a string of below-par efforts, the seven-year-old, who has slipped to a very handy mark, ran well when second to Silvertown last time.
And that form has already been franked by the subsequent wins of the winner and the third-placed Minivet.
Extra Proud has conditions to suit and could well take plenty of beating in the CFM Handicap Chase over the same trip.
The nine-year-old jumped much better than he has in the past when second to the back-to-form Xaipete last time and he'll love the prevailing fast ground at the Cumbrian venue this afternoon.
At Stratford Richard Fahey's Turn Of Phrase also has conditions to suit and could be the one to be on in the gg.com Series Final Handicap Hurdle over his optimum trip of two miles.
He comes into this contest in good form, has a decent chance at the weights and will get the race run to suit his style of racing. He's taken to get the better of Unleash, who may ideally prefer a bit more cut.
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