JILL Mortimer is among the Tory MPs in the region currently predicted to lose their seat to the Labour party at the next General Election.

The latest constituency results show Labour has a 95 per cent chance of winning Hartlepool, while Ms Mortimer has a five per cent chance.

A study has shown Ms Mortimer is expected to win 23.8 per cent of the vote, while Labour is expected to win 50.6 per cent of the vote.

The remainder of the vote, based on a turnout of 57.9 per cent, from an electorate of 70,855, is split between the Reform Party, Green Party and Liberal Democrats.

The results are published by Electoral Calculus who were the most accurate pre-poll predictors of the 2019 general election.

Ms Mortimer had 51.9 per cent of the vote when she was elected in 2021.

Her main opponent, Paul Williams, had 28.7 per cent of the vote.

The Northern Echo: The Electoral Calculus data also breaks down predicted results to ward level within each constituency The Electoral Calculus data also breaks down predicted results to ward level within each constituency

The MP has been contacted by The Northern Echo for comment but no reply was received.

The projections also show Boris Johnson could lose his own seat of Uxbridge and South Ruislip in favour of the Labour party.

The next General Election is expected to take place in May 2024.

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